U.S. Pandemic Tracker

As of April 5th, 23:47:02 (PST)
Cases Deaths Rate
US 336,830 9,618 2.86
World 1,274,543 69,487 5.45

Data By County or State

Cases Deaths Rate
03/28/20 NA NA NA

Top States by Death Rate
(COVID Deaths per 100,000)

New York 11.59
New Jersey 9.41
Louisiana 8.74
Michigan 5.42
Connecticut 4.59
Washington 4.23
District of Columbia 3.31
Massachusetts 3.07
Colorado 2.21
Illinois 1.95
Average, USA 2.91

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Top Counties by Death Rate
(COVID Deaths per 100,000)

St. John the Baptist, LA 53.34
New Orleans, LA 39.13
Prince George, MD 36.39
Dougherty, GA 33.63
Nassau, NY 29.17
St. James, LA 28.37
Lee, GA 26.89
Franklin, IN 26.42
New York City, NY 25.91
St. Charles, LA 22.74
Average, USA 2.91

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Case Morbidity Heat Map

Case Morbidity Heat Map
01/20/20 to Present

Cumulative Cases
01/21/20 to Present

Cumulative Deaths
01/21/20 to Present

Cumulative Death Rates
03/01/20 to Present

Cases & Deaths
As Percent of World's
01/21/20 to Present

COVID-19 Data Summaries


COVID-19 cases grew by 234% over the previous 7 days. Deaths grew by 383%. This is somewhat slower growth than over the previous period. 76% of all US counties have confirmed COVID-19 cases, up from 62% the previous week. 23% of all counties have at least one COVID-19 death.

Across the nation, the death rate has inched up to 2.58%. That's slightly above the estimated morbidity of the 1918 Spanish Flu. However this rate varies wildly across locales. Currently New York, New Jersey and Louisiana have the highest rates. That said, various locales across the nation are also seeing challenges. A good example of this is Prince George county in Maryland. That county as of today records 13 deaths in a relatively small population (~36,000), resulting in high per-capita morbidity.

Meanwhile, the overall cumulative US death rate stands at 2.90 out of 100,000 people.


For the week, cases grew by 429%. Deaths increased by 479%. Rates continue to accelerate.

There are confirmed cases in 62% of US counties. The top hotspots remain New York City and King County (WA). However many areas are spiking. Detroit, New Orleans, Lousiana and Los Angeles are notable examples. Rapid case increases are also being seen in some more rural counties.

Watch the mortality rate. For the world, this rate now exceeds 4.8%. The US death rate has lagged, but now exceeds 2%. By comparison, influenza mortality in a bad year is typically around 0.2%. The "Spanish Flu" of 1918 - which killed over 600k Americans - was at 2.5%. Based on current trends, it appears that COVID-19 will behave more like the Spanish Flu than a seaonal flu.

COVID-19 is a novel organism, new to human populations. Therefore, a very high proportion (up to 70%) of the population could ultimately be infected. Such an infection rate, combined with the current mortality rate, would lead to higher death totals than currently expected.

Data Sources: CDC WHO DXY

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© 2020 Christopher Minson LLC